Manufacturing helps raise Scottish performance

1 min read

New orders received by Scotland’s manufacturers rose for the first time in nine months in May, according to the latest Bank of Scotland Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) measure conducted by Markit. Moreover, the rate at which new work levels grew was the sharpest since August 2014 and faster than the historical average, despite only being modest overall.

Scotland’s manufacturers also recorded a lower volume of incomplete work during May, continuing a trend evident in each of the past 24 months. However, the rate of deterioration eased to the weakest in nine months.

The seasonally adjusted headline Bank of Scotland PMI – a single-figure measure of the month-on-month change in combined manufacturing and services output – fell fractionally to 49.9 in May after registering 50.0 in April. The latest figure pointed to broadly stable output in Scotland’s private sector.

Scotland’s private sector overall received a higher volume of new business during May, with the rate of expansion accelerating to the joint-quickest in nine months. However, the increase in new work failed to lead to a rise in output, which remained broadly unchanged.

Meanwhile, workforce numbers fell for the sixth successive month amid a further deterioration of outstanding business levels. Elsewhere, price pressures continued as both output charges and input costs rose.

For the second successive month, new business levels expanded in Scotland’s private sector. The rate of growth accelerated to the joint-fastest since August last year, yet remained relatively marginal and weaker than the historical average. The latest increase was driven by Scotland’s manufacturers, who reported the sharpest rise in 21 months.

However, the expansion in new work was more muted amongst service providers.

Workforce numbers at Scottish private sector firms continued to contract during May, extending the current sequence to six consecutive months. The pace of job cutting was broadly similar in the manufacturing and service sectors, with a number of panellists linking the decline to the continued downturn in the oil & gas sector.

Graham Blair, Regional Director, SME Banking Scotland said, “Scotland’s private sector will be encouraged by the quicker expansion in new business levels during May, even if the rise was at a relatively marginal pace. However, other areas of the economy are still struggling as job shedding persists and backlogs decline further. Firms will be looking for a further pick-up in demand for Scottish goods and services over the coming months in a hope to revive business activity.”